Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 1
Aston Villa

Lyanco (13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watkins (77')
Luiz (64'), Moreno (82')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins' towering header hands Aston Villa all three points away to Southampton, who remain bottom of the table after their fourth successive defeat at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
40.29% ( 0.08)	26.1% ( -0.01)	33.62% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07% (

0.03)

50.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.2% (

0.02)

72.8% (

-0.03)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

0.05)

24.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

0.07)

59.53% (

-0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0.03)

28.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.04)

64.58% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Southampton 40.29%

Aston Villa 33.62%

Draw 26.09%

Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.62%