EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton3 - 2Stoke
The Match
Match Report
Premier League Southampton survive a Stoke City fightback to seal their place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals with a narrow 3-2 victory.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
45.74% ( 3.69) | 23.99% ( -0.48) | 30.27% ( -3.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
