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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Leicester logo

Bournemouth
2 - 1
Leicester

Billing (67'), Christie (71')
Fredericks (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (10')
Soumare (59'), Maddison (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Leicester City

Bournemouth's 100th Premier League home game could end in disappointment, as the main ingredient missing for Leicester this term has been belief. Now that confidence is now partly restored, the visitors can make their greater individual quality count and compensate for defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 36.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.07 -0.07)52.29% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.061 -0.06)73.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)27.1% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.064 -0.06)62.48% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.9% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.52% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 37.44%
    Leicester City 36.07%
    Draw 26.49%
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leicester

Bournemouth
26.5%
Draw
12.9%
Leicester City
60.6%
287
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
4-2
Leicester
Fraser (19', 37'), King (41' pen.), Smith (81')
Lerma (29'), Wilson (71'), Gosling (79')
Maddison (88' pen.), Albrighton (89')
Maguire (12'), Morgan (45'), Schmeichel (70')
Morgan (69')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Leicester
1-1
Bournemouth
Mahrez (97')
Silva (50'), Schmeichel (94')
King (35' pen.)
Gosling (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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