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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Isak (67' pen.)
Joelinton (69'), Burn (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (62')
Christie (34'), Tavernier (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Bournemouth

Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
62.51% (0.46400000000001 0.46) 21.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 16.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.821 -0.82)46.1% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.784 -0.78)68.4% (0.779 0.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.124 -0.12)14.15% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.239 -0.24)41.82% (0.235 0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-1.081 -1.08)41.45% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-0.965 -0.97)77.96% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.51%
    Bournemouth 16.24%
    Draw 21.24%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
87.9%
Draw
7.2%
Bournemouth
4.9%
264
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
Smith (80'), Gosling (89')
Ake (52')
Gayle (17', 45')
Ritchie (53'), Yedlin (82'), Diame (85'), Perez (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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