We said: Bournemouth 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur
Even if the youthful livewire Gil does come in for his first-ever Premier League start, Tottenham's attacking deficiencies will not be solved overnight, especially against a Bournemouth side who tend not to concede many goals at home.
Putting the ball in the back of the net at home has not been one of the Cherries' specialities either, and Saturday's game does not have the look of an exciting encounter, but Conte's side can hold firm and nick the one goal they need against a Neto-less backline to return to winning ways.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.