Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
40.01% ( 0.63) | 23.86% ( 0.02) | 36.12% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( -0.18) | 40.3% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.19) | 62.67% ( 0.18) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( 0.22) | 20.38% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( 0.34) | 52.79% ( -0.34) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.42) | 22.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.63) | 55.75% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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