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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

Gueye (60')
Tarkowski (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (43'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Everton confirm their Premier League survival with a 1-0 win over Brentford, who succumb to an Idrissa Gueye effort at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 30.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)48.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.09 -0.09)70.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)29.19% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.142 -0.14)65.13% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.95%
    Brentford 30.81%
    Draw 25.23%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
64.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brentford
11.8%
186
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Brentford
1-3
Everton
Jensen (28')
Mbeumo (77'), Ghoddos (82')
Doucoure (6'), Tarkowski (67'), Calvert-Lewin (71')
Young (1'), Branthwaite (90+1')
> Match Report
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Everton
1-0
Brentford
McNeil (1')
> Match Report
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 37
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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