Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.