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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Burnley logo

Everton
1 - 0
Burnley

Calvert-Lewin (45+2')
Tarkowski (34'), Gomes (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (90')
O'Shea (67')

The Match

Match Report

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scores the only goal of the match as Everton record a 1-0 victory over 10-man Burnley at Goodison Park on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Everton
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Wolves
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBurnley
56.52% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 23.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.12% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)49.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)71.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.0020000000000095 0)17.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)38.69% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.57% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Everton 56.51%
    Burnley 20.12%
    Draw 23.36%
EvertonDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-0 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.12%

How you voted: Everton vs Burnley

Everton
46.1%
Draw
40.2%
Burnley
13.7%
102
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Burnley
0-2
Everton
Onana (19'), Keane (25')
Garner (82')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Everton
3-0
Burnley
Tarkowski (13'), Onana (53'), Young (90+2')

Al Dakhil (29'), Kompany (30'), Vitinho (58')
Apr 6, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
3-2
Everton
Collins (12'), Rodriguez (57'), Cornet (85')
Brownhill (10'), Lowton (76')
Richarlison (18' pen., 41')
Holgate (3'), Godfrey (54')
Sep 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Everton
3-1
Burnley
Keane (60'), Townsend (65'), Gray (66')
Townsend (53')
Mee (53')
Brownhill (47')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Everton
1-2
Burnley
Wood (13'), McNeil (24')
Westwood (38'), Lowton (45+2'), Tarkowski (76'), Pope (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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