Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.