Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.