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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Newcastle logo

Chelsea
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trippier (27' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (9')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United settle for fourth position in the Premier League table, drawing 1-1 with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Sunday.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League fixture against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Chelsea
Thursday, May 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Leicester
Monday, May 22 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
35.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.41% (0.0039999999999978 0) 39.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.13% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)69.88% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)58.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 35.2%
    Newcastle United 39.38%
    Draw 25.41%
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.38%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Newcastle

Chelsea
22.4%
Draw
24.4%
Newcastle United
53.2%
156
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Newcastle
1-0
Chelsea
Willock (67')

Jorginho (30')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
gameweek 29
Chelsea
1-0
Newcastle
Havertz (89')
Havertz (39'), Ziyech (58'), Kovacic (87'), Rudiger (90+1')

Murphy (50'), Guimaraes (80'), Gayle (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 10
Newcastle
0-3
Chelsea

Hayden (17'), Ritchie (39'), Lascelles (55')
James (65', 77'), Jorginho (81' pen.)
Kante (54'), Ziyech (57')
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
gameweek 24
Chelsea
2-0
Newcastle
Giroud (31'), Werner (39')
Nov 21, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 9
Newcastle
0-2
Chelsea

Hayden (39'), Murphy (45')
Fernandez (10' og.), Abraham (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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