Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.7%) and 1-3 (6.63%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.