MX23RW : Tuesday, September 24 12:18:36| >> :60:505:505:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
AFC Wimbledon

Newcastle
vs.
AFC Wimbledon

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Newcastle United

Staunch defending has come naturally to Wimbledon in recent weeks, and the hosts should be paid the respect that they deserve from Newcastle after already dumping out one top-flight side. However, even a second-string Magpies team should make light work of their League Two opponents, as Howe gets the response he is after to the weekend's disappointment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
53.48% (29.274 29.27) 21.73% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 24.78% (-29.194 -29.19)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.977 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67% (0.991 0.99)36.33% (-0.993 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54% (1.076 1.08)58.46% (-1.078 -1.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (14.652 14.65)13.72% (-14.655 -14.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (23.142 23.14)40.98% (-23.145 -23.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-13.49 -13.49)27.4% (13.488 13.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-21.525 -21.53)62.87% (21.522 21.52)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.48%
    Newcastle United 24.78%
    Draw 21.74%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.6% (3.425 3.43)
1-0 @ 7.47% (2.496 2.5)
2-0 @ 7.42% (4.284 4.28)
3-1 @ 6.36% (3.763 3.76)
3-0 @ 4.91% (3.595 3.6)
3-2 @ 4.12% (1.557 1.56)
4-1 @ 3.16% (2.339 2.34)
4-0 @ 2.44% (2.023 2.02)
4-2 @ 2.04% (1.238 1.24)
5-1 @ 1.25% (1.048 1.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.864 0.86)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-3.414 -3.41)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-2.918 -2.92)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-4.529 -4.53)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-3.66 -3.66)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-1.324 -1.32)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-3.69 -3.69)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 24.78%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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