Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
32.56% ( -0.24) | 23.11% ( -0.08) | 44.33% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 63.64% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.44% ( 0.28) | 37.56% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.21% ( 0.3) | 59.79% ( -0.3) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( -0.01) | 22.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.27% ( -0.01) | 56.73% ( 0.01) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( 0.24) | 17.39% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.18% ( 0.41) | 47.82% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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