Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 20.6% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.