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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Chelsea

Cucurella (4' og.), Rogers (42')
Luiz (49'), Rogers (64'), Bailey (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Madueke (62'), Gallagher (81')
Caicedo (49'), Mudryk (82'), Silva (87'), Badiashile (90+10'), Madueke (90+10')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea have an injury-time winner ruled out in an engrossing 2-2 Premier League draw with Aston Villa, who let a 2-0 lead slip on home soil.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
59.62% (0.061 0.06) 20.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 20.27% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.89% (0.101 0.1)34.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.01% (0.112 0.11)55.98% (-0.114 -0.11)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.046999999999997 0.05)11.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.10300000000001 0.1)35.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.032000000000011 0.03)29.9% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 59.62%
    Chelsea 20.27%
    Draw 20.11%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.62%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 20.27%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
53.3%
Draw
22.0%
Chelsea
24.7%
291
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 8pm
Fourth Round Replays
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
Diaby (90+1')
Carlos (38')
Gallagher (11'), Jackson (21'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (55'), Petrovic (76')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
0-0
Aston Villa
Silva (9')
Tielemans (46')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
0-1
Aston Villa

Jackson (50'), Chilwell (90')
Gusto (58')
Watkins (73')
Digne (44'), Martinez (90+4'), Luiz (90+1')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Chelsea
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (18'), McGinn (56')
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
1-0
Chelsea
McGinn (7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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