Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.