Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.83% ( -2.02) | 24.51% ( 0.27) | 45.66% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -2.15) | 45.4% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -2.09) | 67.73% ( 2.1) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -2.38) | 28.49% ( 2.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -3.09) | 64.27% ( 3.1) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0.12) | 19.99% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( -0.2) | 52.17% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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