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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Goodison Park
Brighton logo

Everton
2 - 3
Brighton

Gordon (53', 76')
Kenny (9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mac Allister (3', 71'), Burn (21')
Webster (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Everton 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Goodison Park has not been kind to Brighton in recent memory, although Everton's two week-long break may work against them if rustiness comes into play. The expected return of Calvert-Lewin will aid Everton's prospects of breaking down a stubborn Seagulls backline, though, and we have confidence in the Toffees' ability to nick the odd goal and start 2022 as they mean to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.25%28.19%37.57%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73%30.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56%66.44%
Score Analysis
    Everton 34.24%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 37.56%
    Draw 28.18%
EvertonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Everton vs Brighton

Everton
59.1%
Draw
25.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.7%
230
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Brighton
0-2
Everton

Bissouma (61')
Gray (41'), Calvert-Lewin (58' pen.)
Richarlison (62'), Pickford (83')
Apr 12, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Brighton
0-0
Everton
Dunk (52')
Keane (82'), Holgate (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Everton
4-2
Brighton
Calvert-Lewin (16'), Mina (45+2'), Rodriguez (52', 70')
Maupay (41'), Bissouma (90+2')
Alzate (4')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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