We said: Everton 1-1 Manchester United
We can envisage a tight game on Sunday, with all of Everton's matches so far this season either ending as draws or only one goal apart.
Man United may be fatigued after enduring a tougher game than many expected in Cyprus on Thursday, so we think the Toffees can extend their unbeaten run.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.