EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
0 - 1
Everton

Garner (34'), Andrew (44'), Baker (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gray (28')
Vinagre (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Fleetwood Town and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Derby
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Wycombe Wanderers	5	0	6
14	Fleetwood Town	5	0	6
15	Bristol Rovers	5	-1	6

Everton

Last Six:

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Liverpool	3	-1	2
17	Everton	3	-2	1
18	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3	-2	1

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-1 Everton

With both teams playing safety-first football in the opening weeks of the campaign, it is hard to see too many goals being scored at Highbury Stadium on Tuesday. Despite being likely to make several changes, the Toffees should be able to keep their League One opponents at arms length and marginally progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 0-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Everton
21.8% ( 0)	21.4% ( 0.02)	56.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.91% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.81% (

-0.08)

38.18% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.54% (

-0.09)

60.45% (

0.09)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13% (

-0.04)

30.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84% (

-0.05)

67.15% (

0.05)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67% (

-0.03)

13.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.81% (

-0.07)

40.18% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 21.8%

Everton 56.8%

Draw 21.4%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.8%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.8%