We said: Everton 1-2 West Ham United
With all due respect to Asmir Begovic, the absence of Pickford removes a significant layer of protection from the Everton defence, and the goals have been flying in for West Ham in Europe at just the right time.
A trip to Goodison Park will still prove a stern test of the Hammers' credentials, but Moyes can negate the midweek fatigue with a multitude of alterations, and we can envisage a narrow away win on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.