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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Crystal Palace logo

Leeds
1 - 5
Crystal Palace

Bamford (21')
Firpo (44'), McKennie (86'), Gnonto (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guehi (45+1'), Ayew (53', 77'), Eze (55'), Edouard (69')
Ward (50')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace complete a remarkable turnaround to thrash relegation rivals Leeds United 5-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
51.69% (0.131 0.13) 24.33% (-0.058 -0.06) 23.97% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.161 0.16)48.85% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (0.147 0.15)70.94% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.11199999999999 0.11)18.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.192 0.19)50.35% (-0.2 -0.2)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (0.018999999999991 0.02)34.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (0.02 0.02)71.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.68%
    Crystal Palace 23.97%
    Draw 24.33%
Leeds UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United
55.8%
Draw
27.5%
Crystal Palace
16.7%
138
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Jul 22, 2022 11.05am
Apr 25, 2022 8pm
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Leeds
1-0
Crystal Palace
Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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