Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 7

Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Harrison (20'), Sinisterra (45+1')
Summerville (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mangala (12')
Williams (8'), Johnson (65'), Felipe (84'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United climb out of the Premier League relegation zone after coming from behind to beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
54.71% ( -0.02)	24.01% ( 0.01)	21.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71% (

-0.03)

50.29% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

-0.03)

72.24% (

0.03)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.02)

18.27% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.03)

49.32% (

0.03)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-0)

38.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

-0)

74.96% (

Score Analysis

Leeds United 54.71%

Nottingham Forest 21.28%

Draw 24%

Leeds United	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.71%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.28%