Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
54.71% ( -0.02) | 24.01% ( 0.01) | 21.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.71% ( -0.03) | 50.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.76% ( -0.03) | 72.24% ( 0.03) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% ( -0.02) | 18.27% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.67% ( -0.03) | 49.32% ( 0.03) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( -0) | 38.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( -0) | 74.96% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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