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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Nottingham Forest logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Harrison (20'), Sinisterra (45+1')
Summerville (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mangala (12')
Williams (8'), Johnson (65'), Felipe (84'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United climb out of the Premier League relegation zone after coming from behind to beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
54.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 24.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.28% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)50.29% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-0.026 -0.03)72.24% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 54.71%
    Nottingham Forest 21.28%
    Draw 24%
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Leeds vs Nott'm Forest

Leeds United
57.7%
Draw
23.1%
Nottingham Forest
19.2%
156
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2pm
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Leeds
Johnson (14')
Danilo (30'), Boly (52'), Williams (55'), Surridge (90+1')

Struijk (13'), Wober (77')
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Nott'm Forest
4-2
Leeds
Colback (5', 69'), Murphy (72'), Osborn (76')
Robinson (14'), Darikwa (81')
Clarke (52'), Alioski (64')
Phillips (42')
Oct 27, 2018 5.30pm
Leeds
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Roofe (82')
Phillips (63')
Robinson (11')
Grabban (61'), Colback (68'), Carvalho (88'), Dias (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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