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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Leeds logo

Arsenal
4 - 1
Leeds

Jesus (35' pen., 55'), White (47'), Xhaka (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kristensen (76')
Koch (45'), Bamford (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Gabriel Jesus nets a brace as Arsenal go eight points clear at the top of the Premier League table with a 4-1 win over Leeds United.

Team News

Bukayo Saka is named on the bench for Arsenal's Premier League clash with Leeds United, but Thomas Partey is passed fit to start.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-4 Leeds
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
75.77%14.49%9.74%
Both teams to score 55.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9%30.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.68%51.32%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4%6.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.46%24.54%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59%41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44%77.56%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 75.77%
    Leeds United 9.74%
    Draw 14.49%
ArsenalDrawLeeds United
2-0 @ 10%
3-0 @ 9.06%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 8.08%
1-0 @ 7.36%
4-0 @ 6.16%
4-1 @ 5.49%
3-2 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 3.35%
5-1 @ 2.98%
4-2 @ 2.45%
6-0 @ 1.52%
6-1 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 75.77%
1-1 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.49%
1-2 @ 2.92%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.74%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Leeds

Arsenal
83.6%
Draw
8.4%
Leeds United
8.0%
238
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
May 8, 2022 2pm
Arsenal
2-1
Leeds
Nketiah (5', 10')
Magalhaes (16'), Tomiyasu (64')
Llorente (66')
Raphinha (27'), Klich (34')
Ayling (27')
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Leeds
1-4
Arsenal
Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')
Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Last 16
Arsenal
2-0
Leeds
Chambers (55'), Nketiah (69')
Soares (59')

Roberts (23')
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
Arsenal
4-2
Leeds
Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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