Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.