Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 5.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.3%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.