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EFL Cup
Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Manchester City logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Man City

Mara (23'), Djenepo (28')
Lavia (25'), Diallo (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Southampton record a 2-0 victory over Manchester City at St Mary's to book their spot in the semi-finals of the EFL Cup.

Team News

Kalvin Phillips is named in Manchester City's starting lineup for the first time for tonight's EFL Cup quarter-final tie against Southampton at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final clash with Southampton.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final with Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Manchester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Chelsea
Sunday, January 8 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
15.15% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.08% (-0.312 -0.31) 65.77% (0.37100000000001 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (1.364 1.36)38.45% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (1.43 1.43)60.74% (-1.431 -1.43)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (0.779 0.78)38.17% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (0.742 0.74)74.93% (-0.74199999999999 -0.74)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (0.491 0.49)10.91% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.91% (1.074 1.07)35.09% (-1.075 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 15.15%
    Manchester City 65.77%
    Draw 19.08%
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.15%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.08%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-3 @ 7.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.27% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 4.18% (0.066 0.07)
1-4 @ 4.03% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.131 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.11 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 65.77%

How you voted: Southampton vs Man City

Southampton
11.5%
Draw
9.4%
Manchester City
79.2%
192
Head to Head
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Southampton
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Fernandinho (82')
Ward-Prowse (25' pen.), Adams (56')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
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3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
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11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
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