Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.