Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.