EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 0
Crystal Palace

Garnacho (21'), Casemiro (27'), Martial (55')
Mejbri (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Holding (26')

Crystal Palace's Dean Henderson forced off with injury against Manchester United

Dean Henderson is set for a spell on the sidelines after picking up a first-half injury in Crystal Palace's 3-0 EFL Cup defeat to Manchester United.

Sep 27, 00:07

Manchester United's Mason Mount in action September 26, 2023

Erik ten Hag plays down Mason Mount injury fears

Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag eases fears of a new injury to Mason Mount after his half-time substitution in Tuesday's 3-0 EFL Cup win over Crystal Palace.

Sep 27, 08:56

Manchester United midfielder Dan Gore comes on for his debut on September 26, 2023

Dan Gore opens up on 'dream' Manchester United debut

Teenage midfielder Dan Gore opens up on making his first-team debut for Manchester United again Crystal Palace.

Sep 27, 14:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
53.04% ( -0.16)	22.72% ( 0.09)	24.24% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.48% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.47% (

-0.32)

41.53% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

-0.33)

63.93% (

0.33)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

-0.17)

15.68% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

-0.32)

44.73% (

0.32)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.11)

30.64% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.13)

66.88% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 53.04%

Crystal Palace 24.24%

Draw 22.71%

Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.04%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.24%