Man Utd

2 - 1

Crystal Palace

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 78.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.