Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match.