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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
36.63% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.23% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.104 0.1)46.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)68.63% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.107 0.11)23.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.152 0.15)58.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.63%
    Leicester City 38.23%
    Draw 25.15%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
17.4%
Draw
19.9%
Leicester City
62.7%
161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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