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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
Southampton logo

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Southampton

This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
57.29% (0.245 0.24) 21.49% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.62 0.62)39.38% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.646 0.65)61.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.277 0.28)13.57% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.555 0.56)40.68% (-0.556 -0.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.27199999999999 0.27)32.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.308 0.31)68.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 57.29%
    Southampton 21.22%
    Draw 21.49%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester City
Draw
Southampton
Leicester City
83.8%
Draw
11.7%
Southampton
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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