Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
33% ( -0.02) | 25.46% ( 0.09) | 41.54% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% ( -0.42) | 48.35% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( -0.39) | 70.49% ( 0.39) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( -0.22) | 27.87% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( -0.28) | 63.48% ( 0.28) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -0.22) | 23.13% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.01% ( -0.32) | 56.99% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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