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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Leicester

Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Castagne (56'), Soyuncu (86'), Tielemans (88')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
44.41% (1.988 1.99) 25.06% (-0.221 -0.22) 30.53% (-1.769 -1.77)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.283 0.28)47.47% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.262 0.26)69.68% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.045 1.05)21.39% (-1.047 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (1.589 1.59)54.38% (-1.591 -1.59)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-1.025 -1.03)29.06% (1.023 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-1.286 -1.29)64.97% (1.284 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Leicester City 30.53%
    Draw 25.05%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.367 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
64.6%
Draw
18.4%
Leicester City
17.0%
147
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Leicester
Traore (48')
Luiz (51'), Elmohamady (59')
Maddison (19'), Barnes (23')
Ndidi (34')
Oct 18, 2020 7.15pm
Leicester
0-1
Aston Villa

Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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