FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Mar 1, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Caleta-Car (65')
Caleta-Car (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Holohan (45+1' pen., 50' pen.)
Hunt (32')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-0 Grimsby Town

With Southampton likely to make alterations, Grimsby will be optimistic about taking full advantage. However, for all their struggles, the Saints still possess a talented squad, and they should have enough quality to make relatively light work of their next opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Grimsby Town
47.13% ( -3.65)	24.21% ( 0.79)	28.66% ( 2.86)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

-1.45)

44.72% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

-1.41)

67.08% (

1.41)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-1.98)

19.1% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.28% (

-3.38)

50.72% (

3.37)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

1.37)

28.96% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

1.66)

64.85% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Southampton 47.13%

Grimsby Town 28.66%

Draw 24.2%

Southampton	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.37) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.13%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.55) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.66%