Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.