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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Rio Ave

Benfica
5 - 0
Rio Ave

Akturkoglu (12', 16', 45+2'), Schjelderup (79'), Amdouni (81')
di Maria (30')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Panzo (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-3 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atletico CP 1-3 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Benfica 3-1 Rio Ave

 Having won six straight games before Wednesday's defeat against Bodo/Glimt, Benfica will head into the weekend looking to clean the dust off their feet and return to winning ways. While Rio Ave set out in search of consecutive wins for the first time since March 2023, they have struggled to get going away from home and we fancy As Aguias to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.56%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.02%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawRio Ave
80.56% (1.864 1.86) 12.68% (-0.702 -0.7) 6.76% (-1.162 -1.16)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-3.689 -3.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.65% (-1.281 -1.28)32.35% (1.282 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.02% (-1.503 -1.5)53.97% (1.504 1.5)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.82% (0.085999999999999 0.09)6.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.63% (0.239 0.24)23.37% (-0.238 -0.24)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.38% (-3.981 -3.98)49.62% (3.982 3.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.61% (-2.956 -2.96)84.39% (2.957 2.96)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 80.55%
    Rio Ave 6.76%
    Draw 12.68%
BenficaDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.91 0.91)
3-0 @ 11.02% (0.89 0.89)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.615 0.62)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 7.68% (0.658 0.66)
4-1 @ 5.38% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-0 @ 4.28% (0.386 0.39)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.41 -0.41)
6-0 @ 1.98% (0.188 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.275 -0.28)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 80.55%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.457 -0.46)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 12.68%
0-1 @ 2.15% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.1% (-0.341 -0.34)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 6.76%

How you voted: Benfica vs Rio Ave

Benfica
92.1%
Draw
5.3%
Rio Ave
2.6%
38
Head to Head
May 17, 2024 8.45pm
Gameweek 34
Rio Ave
1-1
Benfica
Costinha (90+3' pen.)
Graca (23'), Patrick (45'), Oudrhiri (57'), Silva (86')
Kokcu (32')
Tengstedt (39'), Silva (86')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 17
Benfica
4-1
Rio Ave
Di Maria (29'), Silva (61'), Leonardo (80'), Mario (90+1')
Kokcu (57')
Rodrigues (9')
Aderlan (49'), Patrick (90+3')
Aderlan (58')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 26
Rio Ave
0-1
Benfica
Ramos (46')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Benfica
4-2
Rio Ave
Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')
Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
2-0
Rio Ave
Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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