Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica4 - 1Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Benfica 3-1 Rio Ave
While Rio Ave will look to pick up where they left off last time out, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a high-flying Benfica side. As Aguias have won each of their last 11 games against the visitors, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, they should come out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Rio Ave |
72.87% ( -0.49) | 16.29% ( 0.18) | 10.84% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
