Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Benfica

Costinha (90+3' pen.)
Graca (23'), Patrick (45'), Oudrhiri (57'), Silva (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kokcu (32')
Tengstedt (39'), Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

With a top-half finish still a possibility, Rio Ave should be raring to go on Friday night, however the visit of Benfica looks set to be a challenging assignment. The Eagles will be playing with no fear as the Primeira Liga title has already escaped them, meaning that the visitors should be relaxed enough to continue their rich vein of form in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
17.36% ( -2.43)	21.03% ( -1.21)	61.61% ( 3.63)

Both teams to score 53.33% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

1.55)

43.2% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

1.51)

65.6% (

-1.51)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-1.78)

38.34% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-1.75)

75.1% (

1.75)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49% (

1.65)

13.5% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

3.2)

40.54% (

-3.2)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 17.36%

Benfica 61.59%

Draw 21.03%

Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.36%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03%	0-2 @ 10.37% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.4) 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.28) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.59%