Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave0 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Rio Ave 0-3 Benfica
Rio Ave have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will head into the weekend looking to break their Benfica hoodoo. On paper, Freire's side are no match for the spirited visitors, who boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad. Benfica are currently firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to extend their winning streak against the hosts on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.87%) and 0-3 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
8.4% ( -0.11) | 16.63% ( -0.05) | 74.97% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
