We said: Boavista 1-2 Braga
Despite failing to come away with all three points last time out, Braga head into Saturday's game as the more in-form side, claiming three wins and one draw from their last four games. While Boavista will be looking to build on their win over Estoril Praia, we see the visitors grinding out a narrow win in this one and strengthening their position in the upper echelons of the table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.