Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Bessa

Boavista
1 - 0
Arouca

Gorre (12')
Nathan (61'), Njie (74'), Perez (90'), Morais (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dabbagh (63'), Galovic (84'), Ruiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

Last Six:

Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Maritimo	33	-3	38
9	Boavista	34	-13	38
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Both sides head into the game fresh off the back of ending their three-game winless run and will be seeking to keep the ball rolling. However, Boavista have failed to win any of their most recent six home games, claiming five draws in that time and we predict the spoils will be shared once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Arouca
39.91%	26.13%	33.95%

Both teams to score 53.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98%

51.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12%

72.88%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14%

59.86%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42%

28.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63%

64.37%

Score Analysis

Boavista 39.91%

Arouca 33.95%

Draw 26.13%

Boavista	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.91%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.95%