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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Braga

Belenenses
0 - 1
Braga


Henriques (12'), Akas (34'), Baraye (81')
Sandro (83'), Sithole (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Horta (90')
Carmo (61'), Tormena (82'), Couto (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Belenenses 1-2 Braga

Fresh off the back of a resilient display at Famalicao, Belenenses will head into Saturday's game with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone. However, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in 16 of the last 20 meetings between the sides. While we expect O Belem to take a cautious approach to the game, we are tipping Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BelenensesDrawBraga
18.5%24.7%56.81%
Both teams to score 44.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76%77.25%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28%51.73%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 18.5%
    Braga 56.8%
    Draw 24.69%
BelenensesDrawBraga
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 4.65%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 14.29%
0-2 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-3 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 5.07%
0-4 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 56.8%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2021 9pm
Braga
1-0
Belenenses
Moura (1')
Silva (42'), Magalhaes (85'), Oliveira (88'), Piazon (89')

Sousa (20'), Akas (78'), Sambu (82'), Tavares (90+2')
Apr 11, 2021 5.30pm
Braga
1-1
Belenenses
Gaitan (36')
Silva (17'), Esgaio (42'), Sporar (53'), Elmusrati (68')
Cassierra (59')
Sousa (30'), Sithole (44'), Silva (83')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Belenenses
2-1
Braga
Cardoso (33'), Sousa (45+1')
Teixeira (79'), Phete (90+3')
Paulinho (69' pen.)
Fransergio (90+5')
Carmo (62')
Jul 15, 2020 7.15pm
Braga
1-1
Belenenses
Horta (42')
Palhinha (14'), Paulinho (84')
Cassierra (80')
Robinho (46'), Lima (62')
Jan 4, 2020 6pm
Belenenses
1-7
Braga
Varela (32')
Varela (20'), Santos (36'), Robinho (75')
Robinho (75')
Horta (8', 22'), Trincao (19'), Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (48'), Fonte (84', 91')
Fransergio (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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