Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
37.43% ( 0.71) | 27.23% ( -0.03) | 35.34% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% ( 0.08) | 55.33% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% ( 0.07) | 76.54% ( -0.07) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 0.47) | 28.55% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 0.58) | 64.34% ( -0.58) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( -0.38) | 29.83% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.46) | 65.91% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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