MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 08:02:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Arouca

Braga
1 - 0
Arouca

Horta (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunes (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-1 Arouca

 Fourth-placed Braga will be playing only for pride having already secured their places in next season's Conference League. Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, we are backing Arouca to build on that performance and force a share of the spoils on Sunday to keep their survival hopes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawArouca
60.57% (0.148 0.15) 22.23% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 17.2% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.131 0.13)48.59% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.118 0.12)70.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.092999999999989 0.09)15.6% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.175 0.18)44.58% (-0.175 -0.17)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)41.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)78.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 60.56%
    Arouca 17.2%
    Draw 22.22%
BragaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Braga vs Arouca

Braga
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Arouca
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Arouca
1-1
Braga
Gonzalez (85')
Valente (11'), Carleto (28'), Crivellaro (92')
Santos (49')
Djavan (22'), Rosic (39'), Matheus (84')
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
Arouca
0-0
Braga

Adilson (54'), Gege (56'), Bernardes (84')

Augusto Carvalho Souza (40'), Santos (56')
Fonte (57'), Djavan (64')
Oct 4, 2015 6pm
Braga
0-0
Arouca

Goiano (59'), Ferreira (65'), Boly (88')

Moreira (40'), Basto (58'), Rodrigues (70'), Valente (83'), Dabo (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!