Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
1 - 2
Famalicao

Bozenik (72')
Cannon (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jaime (57' pen.), Dobre (60')
Jaime (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Boavista
Sunday, March 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, March 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Boavista 1-1 Famalicao

Despite Boavista's inability to score goals in recent matches — the Panthers have not netted in three of the last five league games — this game has often produced goals since their first meeting in January 2020. Famalicao won the corresponding fixture last season, but their ongoing misery on the road suggests a similar result may be unlikely, so a draw with both teams scoring could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Famalicao
46.06% ( 0.07)	26.57% ( 0.02)	27.36% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.78% (

-0.11)

55.22% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54% (

-0.09)

76.45% (

0.09)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.02)

23.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.02)

58.15% (

0.02)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.13)

35.44% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

-0.13)

72.2% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Boavista 46.06%

Famalicao 27.36%

Draw 26.57%

Boavista	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.06%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.36%